Caernarfon Town FC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
7º
62
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
31.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
68.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 2
CAE
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAE
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 4
CON
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
TNS
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
4 - 1
POR
94%
5%
1%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
TNS
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 3
TNS
4%
9%
88%
|
67 | 17 | 50 | 0 |