Caernarfon Town FC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 1
NEW
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
COL
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 3
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |