Caernarfon Town FC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAE
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
CAE
10%
16%
75%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
MID
3 - 1
TNS
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
5 - 1
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
TNS
0 - 2
MID
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |