Caernarfon Town FC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 5
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
HAV
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 3
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |