Caernarfon Town FC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 4
CAE
37%
25%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
TNS
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 5
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 0
PEN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |