Caernarfon Town FC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
0 - 0
CAE
66%
19%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
TNS
29%
23%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BAL
5 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 6
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 3
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 3
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |