Caernarfon Town FC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 3
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAL
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |