Caernarfon Town FC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAE
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
BAL
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
ABE
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 7
NEW
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |