Caernarfon Town FC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
3 - 0
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
NEW
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |