Caernarfon Town FC vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAE
24%
21%
55%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 2
TNS
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
LLA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
3 - 1
LLA
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
HAV
3 - 0
LLA
19%
20%
61%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |