Caernarfon Town FC vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
8º
27
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 1
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
5 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
PON
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAE
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 3
NEW
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAV
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
HAV
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAE
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |