Caernarfon Town FC vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 3
FLI
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAL
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TNS
3 - 2
HAV
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
49%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |