Caernarfon Town FC vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAE
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 3
BAL
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
FLI
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
FLI
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 2
FRA
36%
24%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |