Caernarfon Town FC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAE
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 2
CAE
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 5
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
HAV
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 3
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
CON
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |