Caernarfon Town FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAE
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
12%
18%
71%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 4
ABE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CEF
0 - 5
CON
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 2
FLI
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |