Caernarfon Town FC vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 1
MOL
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 3
CAE
22%
21%
57%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LLA
4 - 4
CAE
7%
14%
79%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 4
LLA
93%
5%
1%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
5 - 1
GUI
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 4
TNS
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RHY
0 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |