Caernarfon Town FC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 1
CAE
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAE
31%
25%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CEF
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CON
32%
28%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |