Caernarfon Town FC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAE
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAE
79%
13%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
4 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
LLA
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |