Caernarfon Town FC vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
TNS
0 - 1
CAE
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 3
CAE
38%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
6 - 0
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |