Caernarfon Town FC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAE
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
3 - 3
LLA
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 5
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |