Caernarfon Town FC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAE
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 0
BAR
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
BAR
18%
23%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |