Caernarfon Town FC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
8º
8º
40
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
2 - 1
CAE
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 3
NEW
39%
24%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 2
PEN
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLI
73%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FLI
72%
16%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |