Caernarfon Town FC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 4
HAV
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
20%
21%
59%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAL
16%
22%
63%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 2
BAL
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -2 |