Caernarfon Town FC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
CON
6 - 2
CAE
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HAV
0 - 4
BAL
15%
19%
66%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |