Caernarfon Town FC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
64.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 2
CAE
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
6 - 2
HOL
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAE
7%
14%
80%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 0
CAE
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LLA
0 - 7
CAE
8%
13%
79%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 2
BAL
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
3 - 2
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
0 - 3
BAL
9%
15%
77%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |