Caernarfon Town FC vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
3º
2
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 2
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 1
ABE
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
CAE
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
FLI
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
PON
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
73%
17%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
AIR
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 7
ABE
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |