Caernarfon Town FC vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PRE
0 - 3
CAE
16%
18%
66%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 2
CAE
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
TNS
0 - 1
CAE
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 3
CAE
38%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CWU
3 - 4
ABE
6%
11%
83%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 3
ABE
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
ABE
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |