Caerau Ely vs Trethomas Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PON
1 - 0
CAE
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
NWC
85%
10%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAE
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAR
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GOY
3 - 2
CAE
45%
22%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
TRE
30%
21%
49%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
TAF
35%
21%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +4 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 3
TRE
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 0
PEN
53%
20%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
BDG
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |