Caerau Ely vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAE
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 3
ABB
81%
11%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 1
PON
63%
19%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
GOY
6 - 2
CAE
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LID
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
HAV
10%
18%
72%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
TRE
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CWM
4 - 1
TRE
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 3
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
GOY
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |