Caerau Ely vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 3
GRE
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 2
CAE
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
LID
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +5 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
ABB
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
TAF
35%
21%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
AAF
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
TRE
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |