Caerau Ely vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AAF
2 - 1
CAE
81%
12%
8%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 2
TAF
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
LLA
13%
15%
72%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 0
CAE
86%
11%
3%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CWM
2 - 0
CAE
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SUF
4 - 2
UND
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 3
SUF
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SUF
0 - 4
STM
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CWU
1 - 2
SUF
25%
21%
55%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
AAF
2 - 4
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |