Caerau Ely vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 2
CAE
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
LID
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +5 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
BDG
76%
13%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
CAE
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 4
CAR
16%
19%
66%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
9 - 0
ABB
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
LLA
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 5
LLA
11%
17%
71%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |