Caerau Ely vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CWM
3 - 2
CAE
62%
19%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
LID
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +5 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
BDG
76%
13%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AAA
0 - 0
GRE
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
DEN
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
9 - 0
GRE
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 3
GRE
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
LLA
32%
25%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |