Caerau Ely vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
57.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
CAE
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GOY
2 - 4
CAE
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 5
TAF
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PON
6 - 1
CAE
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 2
CAE
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
FLI
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FLI
0 - 2
RHY
15%
19%
67%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
BUC
5 - 3
FLI
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FLI
1 - 0
LLA
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 4
FLI
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |