Caerau Ely vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAL
7%
15%
79%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRE
53%
20%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 3
GRE
28%
24%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
4 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABB
77%
14%
10%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
ABB
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
9 - 0
ABB
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PON
6 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |