Caen vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAE
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 1
LMU
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 0
CAE
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
0 - 0
ESW
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 0
LMU
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 1
VAL
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 0
ESW
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
VAL
3 - 0
CSL
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |