Caen vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
ASN
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 0
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
MAR
19%
24%
56%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 0
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
USB
2 - 0
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 0
REI
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 1
IST
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
LHA
3 - 0
TRO
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 0
NAN
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |