Caen vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FCR
1 - 2
CAE
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 1
BRC
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
AMI
0 - 3
CAE
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
SED
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
TRO
3 - 0
FCR
69%
20%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
BRC
0 - 1
TRO
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TRO
3 - 3
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SED
3 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TRO
3 - 2
AMI
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |