Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
57.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DIJ
1 - 0
CAE
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAU
1 - 0
CAE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 0
NÎM
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
TFC
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
TFC
4 - 0
LHA
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
TFC
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TFC
4 - 1
DIJ
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |