Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
SOC
2 - 0
CAE
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
ESW
5 - 2
CAE
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1997 |
ASN
3 - 0
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
CAE
2 - 0
TRO
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
LIL
2 - 2
CAE
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
SPI
0 - 2
TFC
15%
26%
60%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
TFC
1 - 0
LHA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
TFC
66%
21%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
TFC
1 - 1
MPL
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
BAS
0 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |