Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 0
ANG
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1995 |
SPI
4 - 0
CAE
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
CAE
1 - 0
LMU
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1995 |
SOC
4 - 2
CAE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
TFC
0 - 1
SPI
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
LMU
2 - 1
TFC
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
TFC
1 - 0
SOC
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 2
TFC
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
TFC
2 - 0
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |