Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAE
23%
29%
47%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 0
PER
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 0
CSL
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1996 |
TFC
4 - 2
DUN
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
PER
0 - 1
TFC
33%
29%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 2
AMI
60%
23%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CSL
1 - 2
TFC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 1
ANG
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |