Caen vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
NIC
5 - 0
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
CAE
2 - 3
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
SOC
1 - 0
CAE
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
CAE
3 - 0
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
MET
1 - 1
STR
70%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
STR
2 - 0
NAN
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
CAN
4 - 1
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
STR
3 - 2
GIR
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |