Caen vs Stade Lavallois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
0 - 0
CAE
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1995 |
PER
1 - 0
CAE
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
STL
1 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
AMI
0 - 3
STL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
STL
3 - 1
CSL
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
ANG
3 - 0
STL
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
STL
2 - 1
SPI
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |