Caen vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
ASB
1 - 1
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NÎM
2 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 1
NIO
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 0
NÎM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
NIO
0 - 2
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCM
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
STL
1 - 1
ASS
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 1
LHA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |