Caen vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
FCG
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1998 |
CAE
4 - 0
FCG
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
ASS
1 - 1
SED
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
LIL
2 - 1
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1998 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCM
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
SOC
4 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
ASB
0 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |