Caen vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1998 |
SOC
2 - 2
CAE
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
ASB
2 - 3
CAE
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
5 - 0
CSL
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 0
NAN
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 1
ASS
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
ESW
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
FCM
1 - 2
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
ASN
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
VAL
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |