Caen vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAE
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
NAN
1 - 3
CAE
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
CAE
0 - 2
MET
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
STL
2 - 1
CAE
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
IST
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LYO
0 - 0
MON
71%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 1
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 2
LYO
27%
26%
48%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
NTT
1 - 3
LYO
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 2
JUV
59%
23%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |