Caen vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
NÎM
0 - 0
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
STL
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2000 |
GUI
3 - 1
CAE
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
CAE
4 - 1
AMI
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2000 |
FCG
4 - 0
CAE
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 1
LMU
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 2
NIC
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 1
ESW
45%
30%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
TFC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 0
CSL
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |