Caen vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
LIL
0 - 0
CAE
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
FCG
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
AMI
1 - 1
CAE
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1998 |
CAE
4 - 0
FCG
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 2
ESW
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SED
4 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NIC
1 - 1
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1998 |
RED
1 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1998 |
NIC
2 - 1
SOC
46%
28%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |